While Thailand possesses superior military power, Cambodia’s defensive position and knowledge of the terrain could influence the outcome if border fighting intensifies, according to regional defense experts.
Carl Schuster, a former director at the U.S. Pacific Command’s Joint Intelligence Center, said the disputed border area is easier to access from Cambodia, giving its forces a geographical edge. “Terrain favors access from Cambodian territory to the disputed area,” he said.
Schuster added that Thailand, with its modern air force and artillery, would likely rely on long-range strikes rather than large-scale ground offensives. “The Royal Thai Air Force is superior and their special forces are superior,” he said. “The Thais will prefer to emphasize air power and long-range firepower.”
Analysts say Cambodia has reportedly laid landmines and booby traps along contested sections, further complicating any Thai advance.
Both sides have called for ceasefire talks, but sporadic gunfire was still reported as of Saturday evening. The outcome of any renewed hostilities may depend less on numbers and more on tactical adaptation to the rugged border landscape.
